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I have a writeup here that gives some examples of how to recognize whether a statement is conditional or unconditional probability, and how to write it in notation.

Look this over first, Identifying unconditional and conditional probabilities-3.docx在新窗口中查看

Then do the following problems to hand in

Practicing identification and notation for unconditional and conditional probabilities (1)-1.docx在新窗口中查看

If you type in your answers, you should upload the file as .doc or .docx.

If you hand write your files and take a photo, please import the photo image into either of the above types, or make it a pdf. While Canvas lets you upload jpg files, they are difficult to grade because they are imported at 3 times actual size (visually) of the other types, which look ‘normal’ on the Canvas grading viewer AND that file time doesn’t allow zooming in or out for some reason. That is why I am restricting the file types. If you take a photo, please make sure your work is legible, no shadows on the work, the handwriting is dark enough to be read, etc. Thank you.

This exercise is important not just for helping with midterm 2 (and the final), but also for when you need to set up and use Bayes’ Rule in decision analysis in BUS 190. If you can’t tell the difference between P(A|B) and P(B|A) in a word problem, you will likely get those problems wrong. It is also important in real life to recognize ‘conditioning’ statements. You might find them in Marketing Research reports, for example. You will certainly see them in polls, although not necessarily stated directly as a probability.

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